| Publisher | Congressional Budget Office | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Format | 85.8KB PDF | Date added | 20 Dec 2002 |
| Topics | Performance Budgeting and Management, Financial Management | ||
| Downloads | 73 | ||
The relationship of stock prices to receipts is complex. It involves a variety of lags, offsets, and other complications, so that stock market-sensitive revenue components do not necessarily mimic the market's movements. As a result, knowing what the market has done (or will do) is of limited value in projecting federal receipts. This paper examines the stock market/revenue connection in some detail and explores the degree to which an understanding of that link informs the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO's) revenue forecasts.
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