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Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Developing Countries - Some Stylized Facts

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Publisher International Monetary Fund
Publisher Registration Direct access to download
Topics Economic Modeling Date added 01 Mar 1999
Downloads 30 Format 2.2MB PDF, requires Acrobat Rdr 5

This paper documents the main stylized features of macroeconomic fluctuations for 12 developing countries. Cross-correlations between domestic industrial output and a large group of macroeconomic variables (including fiscal variables, wages, inflation, money, credit, trade, and exchange rates) are presented. Also, analyzed are the effects of industrial country economic conditions on output fluctuations in these countries. The robustness of the results is examines using different detrending procedures. The results indicate many similarities between macroeconomic fluctuations in developing and industrial countries (procyclical real wages; counter cyclical variation in government expenditure) and some important differences (counter cyclical variation in the velocity of monetary aggregates).

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