| Publisher | Communications Industry Researchers, Inc. | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Format | 137.0KB HTML | Date added | 14 Aug 2003 |
| Topics | Optical Networking | ||
| Downloads | 3 | ||
As someone once quipped, forecasting is a hard thing to do, especially when it is about the future. . . and the optical future is especially hard to forecast. It is a far simpler task to forecast new car sales -- there are years of data on which to base such forecasts and advanced statistical techniques that can be used to manipulate the data into convincing market projections. When you want to forecast metro DWDM, tunable lasers, optical switches, etc., there is no historical data per se and with immature technologies, uncertainty as to available applications and unproven demand, it would appear hard to build a market forecast that would convince anyone.
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